EARLY RECESSION INDICATORS: INFLATION /
DEFLATION: SMOOTHED PROBABILITY (monthly)
5-YEAR RATE (daily);
CPI ALL ITEMS CITY AVERAGE (monthly);
& EFFECTIVE FUNDS RATE (daily):
|
EARLY RECESSION INDICATORS: INFLATION /
DEFLATION: SMOOTHED PROBABILITY (monthly)
5-YEAR RATE (daily);
CPI ALL ITEMS CITY AVERAGE (monthly;
updated near 9th-13th)); & EFFECTIVE FUNDS RATE (daily):
|
EFFECTIVE FUNDS RATE
|
||
EARLY RECESSION INDICATORS: REAL DISPOSABLE
INCOME (monthly; updated near
30th-3rd)
|
EARLY RECESSION INDICATORS: REAL DISPOSABLE
INCOME (monthly; updated near
30th-3rd)
|
EFFECTIVE FUNDS RATE
|